Association between mortality from COVID-19 and altitude during 2020 in Ecuador. An ecological study
Keywords:
COVID-19, altitude, mortality, Ecuador.Abstract
Objective: This study aims to ascertain the correlation between COVID-19 mortality and altitude in Ecuador throughout 2020.
Methods: This observational, ecological study focuses on the city as the unit of observation. COVID-19 mortality data was sourced from the city compilation of registered deaths, identified by the ICD-10 codes: U071 and U072. Altitude was determined by analyzing a digital elevation model. Given the non-linear relationship between COVID-19 mortality and altitude, a restricted cubic splines model was employed, with the model adjusted for socioeconomic variables.
Results: The study incorporated 23,738 deaths across 218 cities. An inverse relationship between mortality and altitude was observed at elevations less than 2000 meters above sea level (masl) (p < 0.05), while a direct relationship was noted from 2000 masl (p < 0.05).
Conclusion: In cities situated below 2000 masl, an increase in altitude correlates with lower mortality. Conversely, in towns located above 2000 masl, a higher mortality rate is observed.
Downloads
References
PAHO. Weekly COVID-19 Epidemiological Update-Region of the Americas. Atlanta;2022 [acceso 11/10/2022]. Disponible en: https://iris.paho.org/handle/10665.2/53084
Clarke KEN, Jones JM, Deng Y, Nycz E, Lee A, Iachan R, et al. Seroprevalence of Infection-Induced SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies—United States, September 2021-February 2022. Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2022 [acceso 11/10/2022];71(17):606. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35482574/
Wu Z, McGoogan JM. Characteristics of and important lessons from the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in China: summary of a report of 72 314 cases from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Jama. 2020 [acceso 11/10/2022];323(13):1239-42. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32091533/
Ramis Andalia RM. Una vez más, de la vieja a la nueva epidemiología. Rev Cuba Salud Pública. 2011 [acceso 11/10/2022]. Disponible en: http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&pid=S0864-34662011000400012&lng=es&nrm=iso
Lalonde M. New perspective on the health of Canadians: 28 years later. Rev Panam salud pública. 2002 [acceso 11/10/2022];12:149-52. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/12396631/
Palmera JAR. Polidimensionalidad de los determinantes de la salud en tiempos de COVID-19. Boletín Malariol y Salud Ambient. 2021 [acceso 11/10/2022];61:2. Disponible en: https://docs.bvsalud.org/biblioref/2023/01/1411910/537-1660-3-pb.pdf
Barber RM, Sorensen RJD, Pigott DM, Bisignano C, Carter A, Amlag JO, et al. Estimating global, regional, and national daily and cumulative infections with SARS-CoV-2 through Nov 14, 2021: a statistical analysis. Lancet. 2022. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(22)00484-6
Sorensen RJD, Barber RM, Pigott DM, Carter A, Spencer CN, Ostroff SM, et al. Variation in the COVID-19 infection-fatality ratio by age, time, and geography during the pre-vaccine era: A systematic analysis. Lancet. 2022 [acceso 11/10/2022];399(10334):1469-88. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35219376/
Stokes EK, Zambrano LD, Anderson KN, Marder EP, Raz KM, Felix SEB, et al. Coronavirus disease 2019 case surveillance—United States, January 22–May 30, 2020. Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2020 [acceso 11/10/2022];69(24):759. Disponible en: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6924e2.htm
Carleton T, Cornetet J, Huybers P, Meng KC, Proctor J. Global evidence for ultraviolet radiation decreasing COVID-19 growth rates. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2021 [acceso 11/10/2022];118(1):e2012370118. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33323525/
Rahman M, Islam M, Shimanto MH, Ferdous J, Rahman AA-NS, Sagor PS, et al. A global analysis on the effect of temperature, socio-economic and environmental factors on the spread and mortality rate of the COVID-19 pandemic. Environ Dev Sustain. 2021 [acceso 11/10/2022];23(6):9352-66. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33041644/
Hwang J, Jang M, Kim N, Choi S, Oh Y-M, Seo JB. Positive association between moderate altitude and chronic lower respiratory disease mortality in United States counties. PLoS One. 2018 [acceso 11/10/2022];13(7):e0200557. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29995931/
Woolcott OO, Bergman RN. Mortality attributed to COVID-19 in high-altitude populations. High Alt Med Biol. 2020 [acceso 11/10/2022];21(4):409-16. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32815745/
Vivanco L, Cordero F. Descentralización de la planificación del ordenamiento territorial en Ecuador, 2008-2018. Ecuador Debate. 2019 [acceso 11/10/2022];108:73-100. Disponible en: https://repositorio.flacsoandes.edu.ec/handle/10469/16293
INEC. Censo de población y vivienda. 2010 [acceso 11/10/2022]. Disponible en: https://www.ecuadorencifras.gob.ec/base-de-datos-censo-de-poblacion-y-vivienda-2010/
Información estadística nacional, estimaciones y proyecciones poblacionales; 2012 [acceso 11/10/2022]. Disponible en: https://www.ecuadorencifras.gob.ec/base-de-datos-censo-de-poblacion-y-vivienda-2010/
Campbell Y, Connell J. COVID in the Islands: A Comparative Perspective on the Caribbean and the Pacific September 2021–February 2022. Springer. 2021 [acceso 11/10/2022]:12. Disponible en: https://pacificaffairs.ubc.ca/book-reviews/covid-in-the-islands-a-comparative-perspective-on-the-caribbean-and-the-pacific-edited-by-yonique-campbell-and-john-connell/
Espelt A. Manual de epidemiología y salud pública para grados en ciencias de la salud. SciELO Public Health; 2012 [acceso 11/10/2022]. Disponible en: https://dialnet.unirioja.es/servlet/libro?codigo=755751
Harrell Jr FE, Harrell Jr MFE, Hmisc D. Package ‘rms’ May 8, 2023.
Vanderbilt Univ. 2017;229:8.
Hernández-Ávila M, Garrido F, Salazar-Martínez E. Sesgos en estudios epidemiológicos. Salud Publica Mex. 2000;42(5):438-46.
Sy KTL, White LF, Nichols BE. Population density and basic reproductive number of COVID-19 across United States counties. PLoS One. 2021;16(4):e0249271.
He W, Yi GY, Zhu Y. Estimation of the basic reproduction number, average incubation time, asymptomatic infection rate, and case fatality rate for COVID‐19: Meta‐analysis and sensitivity analysis. J Med Virol. 2020;92(11):2543-50.
Carrasco M. Ecuador tiene 1.082 camas de UCI para atender a pacientes con COVID-19, pero casi todas permanecen ocupadas. El Universo. 2021 [acceso 11/10/2022]; May. Disponible en: https://www.eluniverso.com/noticias/ecuador/ecuador-tiene-1082-camas-de-uci-para-atender-a-pacientes-con-covid-19-pero-casi-todas-permanecen-ocupadas-nota/
Rosenthal MB, Zaslavsky A, Newhouse JP. The geographic distribution of physicians revisited. Health Serv Res. 2005 [acceso 11/10/2022];40(6p1):1931-52. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/16336557/
Ssentongo P, Ssentongo AE, Heilbrunn ES, Ba DM, Chinchilli VM. Association of cardiovascular disease and 10 other pre-existing comorbidities with COVID-19 mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS One. 2020 [acceso 11/10/2022];15(8):e0238215. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32845926/
Vinueza Veloz AF, Yaulema Riss AK, De Zeeuw CI, Carpio Arias TV, Vinueza Veloz MF. Blood Pressure in Andean Adults Living Permanently at Different Altitudes. High Alt Med Biol. 2020 [acceso 11/10/2022];21(4):360-9. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32845744/
Hyndman ME, Parsons HG, Verma S, Bridge PJ, Edworthy S, Jones C, et al. The T-786→ C mutation in endothelial nitric oxide synthase is associated with hypertension. Hypertension. 2002 [acceso 11/10/2022];39(4):919-22. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/11967250/
Kumar R, Kohli S, Mishra A, Garg R, Alam P, Stobdan T, et al. Interactions between the genes of vasodilatation pathways influence blood pressure and nitric oxide level in hypertension. Am J Hypertens. 2015 [acceso 11/10/2022];28(2):239-47. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25159081/
Thomson TM, Casas F, Guerrero HA, Figueroa-Mujíca R, Villafuerte FC, Machicado C. Potential protective effect from COVID-19 conferred by altitude: a longitudinal analysis in Peru during full lockdown. High Alt Med Biol. 2021 [acceso 11/10/2022];22(2):209-24. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33780636/
Cano-Pérez E, Torres-Pacheco J, Fragozo-Ramos MC, García-Díaz G, Montalvo-Varela E, Pozo-Palacios JC. Negative correlation between altitude and COVID-19 pandemic in Colombia: a preliminary report. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2020 [acceso 11/10/2022];103(6):2347. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33124543/
Campos A, Scheveck B, Parikh J, Hernandez-Bojorge S, Terán E, Izurieta R. Effect of altitude on COVID-19 mortality in Ecuador: an ecological study. BMC Public Health. 2021 [acceso 11/10/2022];21(1):1-9. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34772396/
Torres I, Sippy R, Sacoto F. Assessing critical gaps in COVID-19 testing capacity: the case of delayed results in Ecuador 1 de abril 2021-septiembre 2022. BMC Public Health. 2021 [acceso 11/10/2022];21:1-8. Disponible en: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33794837/
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Licencia Creative Commons
La Revista Cubana de Medicina Tropcial se encuentra bajo una
Este sitio está bajo Licencia de Creative Commons Reconocimiento-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional.